Tag: Nasdaq

  • Is Fire-grilled Chicken even possibly a value or growth investment? | A  Quick Look into El Pollo Loco (NASDAQ: LOCO) | Trading Record: 7-Jun-2024 LOCO Entry @ $10.45

    Is Fire-grilled Chicken even possibly a value or growth investment? | A Quick Look into El Pollo Loco (NASDAQ: LOCO) | Trading Record: 7-Jun-2024 LOCO Entry @ $10.45

    Note: This post is written for my personal trading record purpose only, so this should not be taken as any form of investment advice or guidance to follow. Discussion is welcome, while you must do your own research for our own risks.

    Discussion

    What is El Pollo Loco?

    El Pollo Loco is a quick-service Mexican restaurant chain known for its delicious fire-grilled chicken. With over 475 locations across the United States, they offer a menu that includes tacos, burritos, bowls, and salads, all centered around their signature citrus-marinated chicken cooked over an open flame. If you’re craving flavorful chicken, El Pollo Loco is definitely worth a visit.

    Is El Pollo Loco popular in the United State?

    El Pollo Loco has gained popularity in the USA for several reasons:

    Flavorful Chicken: Their signature fire-grilled chicken is marinated with citrus and cooked over an open flame, resulting in juicy, flavorful meat.

    Affordability: El Pollo Loco offers tasty Mexican-inspired dishes at reasonable prices, making it accessible to a wide range of customers.

    Variety: Their menu includes tacos, burritos, bowls, and salads, catering to different preferences.

    Consistency: El Pollo Loco has maintained its quality and cooking methods for over 40 years, creating a loyal customer base.

    Overall, it’s a go-to spot for those seeking delicious, affordable chicken meals.

    Why is Mexican food liked in the United State?

    Mexican cuisine’s popularity in the United States can be attributed to several factors:

    1. Rich Flavors: Mexican food offers a vibrant blend of flavors, thanks to ingredients like avocados, corn, tomatoes, chilis, beans, and limes. These flavors resonate with diverse palates.
    2. Healthy Ingredients: Authentic Mexican dishes often include healthy components such as avocados, beans, and savory meats. The use of fresh ingredients contributes to its appeal1.
    3. Cultural Influence: Mexican cuisine has deep roots, influenced by indigenous traditions and later shaped by Spanish conquistadors. Over time, it became popularized through Tex-Mex offerings like burritos2.
    4. Affordability: Mexican food encourages consumer trial due to its cost-effectiveness. Many meals are priced under $10, making it accessible to a wide audience3.

    In summary, the rich flavors, healthy ingredients, cultural heritage, and affordability contribute to the widespread love for Mexican food in the United States.

    Is El Pollo Loco a listed company?

    El Pollo Loco is a publicly traded company. It is listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange under the ticker symbol LOCO.

    As of June 7, 2024, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) stock is trading at $10.36 per share on the NasdaqGS, with a market cap of approximately $306.3 million1. Here’s a summary of its recent performance:

    • 1-Year Return: 9.28%
    • 3-Year Return: 29.51%
    • 5-Year Return: 7.67%

    How is LOCO’s financial performance and growth recently?

    Let’s dive into El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.’s recent financial performance:

    • Total Revenue: In Q1 2024, the company’s total revenue increased by 1.4% to $116.2 million compared to Q1 2023.
    • Company-Operated Restaurant Revenue: It decreased by 0.7% to $97.2 million due to refranchising activities.
    • Franchise Revenue: Rose by an impressive 17.3% to $11.3 million, driven by new restaurant openings and increased sales.
    • Net Income: GAAP net income was $5.9 million, or $0.19 per diluted share. Adjusted net income was $6.8 million, or $0.22 per diluted share.
    • Restaurant Contribution Margin: Improved significantly to 17.6% from 15% year-over-year, thanks to higher menu prices and operational efficiencies.

    Overall, El Pollo Loco Holdings is navigating growth amidst challenges, with positive points such as comparable restaurant sales increases and franchise revenue growth. However, there are also challenges, including labor inflation and restructuring costs.

    What are the challenges that LOCO is facing?

    El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. faces several challenges in its operations:

    1. Labor Inflation: Like many restaurant chains, El Pollo Loco grapples with rising labor costs. As minimum wages increase and competition for workers intensifies, managing payroll expenses becomes crucial. Balancing employee compensation with profitability is a delicate dance.
    2. Restructuring Costs: The company has incurred expenses related to restructuring efforts. These costs can arise from changes in organizational structure, streamlining operations, or adapting to market shifts. While necessary for long-term viability, they impact short-term financials.
    3. Competition: The quick-service restaurant industry is fiercely competitive. El Pollo Loco competes with other fast-food chains, local eateries, and even grocery stores offering prepared meals. Staying relevant and differentiating themselves in this crowded space is a constant challenge.
    4. Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions affect the availability and cost of ingredients. Whether due to transportation issues, weather events, or geopolitical factors, these disruptions can impact El Pollo Loco’s ability to maintain consistent menu offerings.
    5. Consumer Preferences and Trends: Consumer tastes evolve, and health-conscious choices are on the rise. El Pollo Loco must adapt its menu to cater to changing preferences while retaining its signature flame-grilled chicken offerings.
    6. Real Estate Costs: Securing prime locations for new restaurants can be expensive. Balancing the benefits of visibility and foot traffic with the associated costs is crucial for expansion.

    Despite these challenges, El Pollo Loco continues to innovate, expand, and serve its loyal customers.

    Setup Summary

    DateTickerActionReferenceReference PriceJustificationPositionPriceSizeStop LossRisk ToleranceRisk Exposure%Risk Exposure$
    07/06/2024LOCOEntry20MA10.45Volume contract at 20MA120010.5212,62410.2520MA-2%-2.57%-$324.00

    My Personal Trading Record :

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Fet2gtENwYOVUggm4n4kovbrzdKcbphP7jHsF0V9GOo/edit?usp=drive_link

  • Trading Record: 31-May-2024 SQQQ Stop Gain @ $10.575 (Ver AI)

    Trading Record: 31-May-2024 SQQQ Stop Gain @ $10.575 (Ver AI)

    Note: This post is written for my personal trading record purpose only, so this should not be taken as any form of investment advice or guidance to follow. Discussion is welcome, while you must do your own research for our own risks.

    Discussion

    The Nasdaq and market turns very bearish and sells off even after a lower than expected PCE data is released. This is sometimes more luck than skill that you find an inverted movement after finding a better than expected data.

    The Nasdaq and QQQ turns upside after the data was release while it literally U turns after a few bars. The market sells off and QQQ drops up to around 2%. In this case, I think this is good to lock down the profit before the market find its feet based on the 620-chart or the market shows some side of finding its foot.

    Based on the daily chart, QQQ broke down into the 10MA yesterday and 20MA today with higher volume as the market leaders are being sold off hardly.

    Based on the 620-chart or 5-minute below, QQQ shows a relatively strong upside bar in 12:20AM in HKT GMT+8, at which I closed the SQQQ position considering the profit and a possible reversion which would likely trim down the gain quickly. Since our original risk tolerance level or exposure if set a around 1% in SQQQ’s 3x leveraged position, a up to 2% movement in QQQ is equivalent a 6% movement in SQQQ,, which is around 6 times gain over my expected risk exposure. Based on the Perfection of Generosity, or Perfection of Non-greed, this should be a good stop gain opportunity.

    My Personal Trading Record :

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Fet2gtENwYOVUggm4n4kovbrzdKcbphP7jHsF0V9GOo/edit?usp=drive_link

  • Trading Record: 30-May-2024 SQQQ Entry @ $9.815

    Trading Record: 30-May-2024 SQQQ Entry @ $9.815

    Note: This post is written for my personal trading record purpose only, so this should not be taken as any form of investment advice or guidance to follow. Discussion is welcome, while you must do your own research for our own risks.

    Discussion

    The market has been rebounding strongly and extending for more than a month. However, underneath the strong movement in Nasdaq index driven mainly by the recent uptrend of NVDA, other names including the DJI has topped and dropping sharping from 20th May. The S&P 500 is also getting down to the 20MA with near average volume after topping and moving sideway from 15th May.

    On 30th May, in the big names of Nasdaq, MSFT is breaking the 20MA with some strong volume expected by the trading day. Other names are moving sideway with NVDA being strong and consolidating around the recent historical.

    The entry into SQQQ is a speculative play against the QQQ to capture if there is any sell-off or stronger consolidation around the recently high. Meanwhile, it is observed that the interest rate level increases as the 10Y yield TNX touching 4.638 before coming back slightly after the GPD deflator release.

    As this is a speculative play for local top, we would try to keep the stop-loss tight to limit the risk exposure. As we have entered the short using the leveraged -3x SQQQ, we would derive the appropriate stop-loss using the 10MA of QQQ, which is less than 0.3% above the current price when writing. Therefore, we try to limit the loss by 1% of our entry position.

    Meanwhile, the tight stop-loss in MP Materials Corp. is confirmed to be a sensible and effective one as MP breaks down into the 50MA line in high volume in the next day.

    Setup Summary

    DateTickerActionReferenceReference PriceJustificationPositionPriceSizeStop LossRisk ToleranceRisk Exposure%Risk Exposure$
    30/5/2024SQQQEntry10MA of QQQ9.76QQQ breaking down 10MA13009.81512,7609.7168510MA-1%-1.00%-$127.60

    My Personal Trading Record :

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Fet2gtENwYOVUggm4n4kovbrzdKcbphP7jHsF0V9GOo/edit?usp=drive_link